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inflation as one component of future real wages. This paper scrutinizes whether countries in CEE that officially announce an … inflation target are tempted to act time-inconsistently and switch from the announced inflation target to an exchange rate … target in order to sustain higher output via surprise inflation. If market participants discover the time-inconsistency, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009503785
The countries of Central and Eastern Europe went from being largely closed to being largely open to international capital flows. This paper discusses their experience with capital account liberalization and coping with large capital inflows. We start with a discussion of basic economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003719217
Despite the large output declines suffered by emerging Europe in 2008-09, a major currency and banking crisis was avoided. This paper argues that European economic and political integration was a mitigating factor in this. Cross-border banking groups, in particular, seem to have forestalled a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003916261
This paper estimates a tri-variate VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean model to examine linkages between the stock markets of three Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs), specifically the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, and both the UK and Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942221
The paper focused on measuring efficiency of investment strategies and portfolio optimization based on dynamic portfolio formation using the global minimum variance approach in a region of central European countries. The paper analyses DCC GARCH model, which was employed in order to obtain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786883
, although their overall effect on inflation differentials and competitiveness seems to be small. An additional focus of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506491
The countries of Central and Eastern Europe went from being largely closed to being largely open to international capital flows. This paper discusses their experience with capital account liberalization and coping with large capital inflows. We start with a discussion of basic economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746775
Since the late 1990s financial strategies for opening Eastern European markets and entry strategies of foreign banks in most CESEE countries included triggers for strong credit growth, especially in the private sector. What are the transition results on the macro level? Does this credit growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117817
We study a pricing model for global and local sources of risk in six Eastern European emerging stock markets. Utilizing GMM estimation and an unconditional asset-pricing framework with and without time-varying betas, we perform estimations based on monthly data from 1996 to 2007 for Poland, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156114
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991348