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The demographic transition can affect the equilibrium real interest rate through three channels. An increase in longevity - or expectations thereof - puts downward pressure on the real interest rate, as agents build up their savings in anticipation of a longer retirement period. A reduction in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439850
This paper presents examination of how a pension policy affects income growth and the inflation rate in a utility model. Even if the contribution rate of pension increases because of an aging society, an aging society increases income growth and the inflation rate. Moreover, this paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853698
We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population … puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382196
This work is based on a new Keynesian theoretical model for an advanced economy, which incorporates overlapping generations to analyze a channel through which fluctuations in household financial wealth influence aggregate demand. The optimal monetary policy, corresponding to that of a central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438853
We consider the properties of two monetary policy rules (monetary targeting, Taylor-type interest rate rule) in an intertemporal equilibrium model with capital accumulation and two outside assets (government bonds, fiat money). The paper shows that the long-run behaviour of the economy depends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431769
We find that the Friedman rule is not optimal with real government transfers and distortionary taxation. As transfers cannot be taxed, a positive nominal net interest rate is the indirect way to tax the additional income derived from transfers. This result holds for heterogeneous agents,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969395
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991232
This paper analyzes optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a model where money and savings are essential and asset markets matter. The model is able to match some stylized facts about the correlation of real interest rates and stock price-dividend ratios. The results show that fiscal policy can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857574
The neutral rate of interest is an important concept and communication tool for central banks. We develop a small open economy model with overlapping generations to study the determinants of the neutral real rate of interest in a small open economy. The model captures domestic factors such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232633
disparity between theory and practice concerning optimal monetary policy; these models suggest that the Friedman rule may not be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061533