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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008903193
estimates. We formally test the forecast performance of pooled vs. heterogeneous estimators over a hold-back period and find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
. Unbiasedness depends on the forecast horizon being analyzed, with longer-term four-quarter-ahead forecasts being biased. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304607
Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magnitude of the problem proposes and tests a solution and applies it to previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783220
Traditional assessments of the impact of exchange rate depreciation or appreciation on trade have involved estimating the elasticity of trade volume to relative prices.Such studies relied heavily on aggregated trade data.More recent studies employ bilateral trade data and methodologies such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148522
This paper focuses on revisiting an old issue by advanced econometrics analysis: the risks in the U.S. stock market. We analyze the firm's exposure to exchange rate, interest rate, and market shocks by the pooled regression with the error cross-section dependency. We not only examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868070
This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate fluctuations to prices using local projection techniques to obtain state dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998797
This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate fluctuations to prices using local projection techniques to obtain state dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983957
The paper discusses the issue of estimating short- and long-run exchange rate pass-through to import prices in euro area countries and reviews some problems with the measures recently proposed in the literature. Theoretical considerations suggest a cointegrating relationship (between import unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132131
The paper discusses the issue of estimating short- and long-run exchange rate pass-through to import prices in euro area countries and reviews some problems with the measures recently proposed in the literature. Theoretical considerations suggest a long-run Engle and Granger cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132423