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aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
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We analyze real-time forecasts of US inflation over 1999Q3-2019Q4 and subsamples, investigating whether and how … and robustifies against bad forecasts; aggregating forecasts of inflation's components can improve performance compared to …
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