disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation … episode price-setting firms' expect inflation to be highly persistent and opt for backward-looking indexation. As the central … bank acts to bring inflation under control, price-setting firms revise their estimates of the degree of persistence. Such …

In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …