In this paper we simultaneously estimate the real exchange rates between the Swedish Krona, the US Dollar and the Euro. A prime candidate for explaining the exchange rate movements is relative potential output. Since this variable is unobservable, cyclical and potential output are estimated in...

We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real exchange rate in Sweden. This approach enables us to simultaneously determine changes in both cyclical and equilibrium rates. Our results show that the Natural Rate/NAIRU has...

It has been noted in many papers that primary commodity exporting economies and developing countries frequently respond to movements in the real exchange rate as part of their monetary policies. For many central banks, this variable is the primary indicator of real activity. At the same time,...

Steinsson (2008) shows that real shocks that affect the New Keynesian Phillips curve explain the behavior of the real exchange rate in a sticky-price business cycle model. This paper reveals that these shocks are important for the volatility of the real exchange rate in the data. In a structural...

In this study, we describe the problem of testing for the stability and persistence of the Phillips curve for Nigeria when there are nonstationarities in the marginal distribution of the regressors. We test for unknown break dates using the SupF, AvgF and ExpF approaches. After reviewing the...

This paper generalizes the popular stochastic volatility in mean model of Koopman and Hol Uspensky (2002) to allow for time-varying parameters in the conditional mean. The estimation of this extension is nontrival since the volatility appears in both the conditional mean and the conditional...

In this study, we describe the problem of testing for the stability and persistence of the Phillips curve for Nigeria when there are nonstationarities in the marginal distribution of the regressors. We test for unknown break dates using the SupF, AvgF and ExpF approaches. After reviewing the...

We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real exchange rate in Sweden. This approach enables us to simultaneously determine changes in both cyclical and equilibrium rates. Our results show that the Natural Rate/NAIRU has...

This paper documents three major and favourable inflation dynamics in emerging market economies (EMEs). First, the level of inflation has moderated in EMEs and has been broadly stable since the early 2000s. Second, inflation persistence has declined over the past decade. Third, EME exchange rate...

This study first investigates the short and long-run effectsof exchange rate, output gap and output gap volatility on inflationvolatility in Turkey by using the ARDL bounds testing approach.Second, we also examine the causal relationship among these vari-ables by using Toda-Yamamoto and...