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This paper documents three major and favourable inflation dynamics in emerging market economies (EMEs). First, the … level of inflation has moderated in EMEs and has been broadly stable since the early 2000s. Second, inflation persistence … after the financial crisis. In addition, the paper shows that the role of global factors on inflation is larger for EMEs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979151
inflation volatility.Also, causality tests results indicate that changes in the exchangerate, output gap volatility, and output … gap will have permanent andtemporary causal effects on inflation volatility. The policymakersshould carefully consider … these results to implement appropriatepolicies to reduce inflation volatility. The finding that the shocks areof temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187
After trailing Euro Area inflation closely in the recent past, inflation in the Western Balkans has accelerated faster … VAR, adapting them to the data availability and country specificities of the Western Balkans, to analyze the inflation … dynamics in the region. It finds that international food prices affect not only headline but also core inflation as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256591
costs. In a way, this trade-off between inflation and the real exchange rate is identical to a standard Phillips curve. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580410
This paper by building on the general theory of the monetary circuit, proves that money-as a pure bank credit liability-exists to overcome constraints on required expenditures by firms, household and mainly the State. From this perspective the paper derives the employment function in the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008554148
prices. Stringent fixed exchange rate systems have exerted downward pressure on inflation both directly and via expectations … of future inflation. Measures of excess capacity in the labour market have no effect on inflation, while industrial … output gaps have some explanatory power. Real oil price shocks have an immediate but short-lived impact on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635043
inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point … will reduce inflation by approximately 0.6 percentage points within a year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321250
In this paper we simultaneously estimate the real exchange rates between the Swedish Krona, the US Dollar and the Euro. A prime candidate for explaining the exchange rate movements is relative potential output. Since this variable is unobservable, cyclical and potential output are estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003319543
inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point … will reduce inflation by approximately 0.6 percentage points within a year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point … will reduce inflation by approximately 0.6 percentage points within a year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423757