Showing 1 - 10 of 2,918
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
This paper examines the role of inflation expectations in Solomon Islands, a Pacific Island Country, using the Hybrid … matter for inflation. Fuel prices and output gap are important indicators of current inflation. The study highlights key … through effect onto domestic prices. Studies on the role of inflation expectations in small, open, economies of the Pacific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628568
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
We analyse the determinants of the inflation trends in ten Southeast European (SEE) countries. Global cost …-related factors and euro area inflation developments play an important role in explaining inflation dynamics in SEE countries. Changes … exchange to the euro area (EA) market appear to be susceptible to inflation spillovers from the euro area. Moreover, nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101480
During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are … sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030043
unemployment. Our model succeeds in replicating the empirical fact of a downward sloping Phillips curve for low inflation rates and … an upward sloping curve for high inflation rates. The reason is that low inflation rates make saving, as opposed to …, when inflation exceeds a certain threshold, money is too costly to hold, which results in a decrease in output and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018950
observed puzzling co-movement. The computation also indicates that decrease in expected variation in inflation, results in … increased unemployment by 61.0 per cent decrease in the variation in expected inflation associated with a unit change in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881294
We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929651