Showing 1 - 10 of 2,682
We study the effects of globalisation on the slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve for CPI inflation, based on a … generally has a significant positive effect on inflation, but that this effect decreases as integration in the global economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653311
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD … economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations … have a significantly positive effect on inflation. We also find that the effect of inflation expectations on inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697141
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent … downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation … inflation found in the data for the euro area. In this model, continuing to follow the same rule makes inflation to be on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181303
, prompting them to raise markups and prices in anticipation of potentially higher future inflation. These findings establish a … connection between heightened uncertainty, higher core inflation, and increased profits. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320533
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor … explains approximately 58% of the variation in headline inflation across all countries and over 72% in OECD economies. The … explanatory power of global inflation is equally high in a shorter sample spanning the time since 2000. Core inflation is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551069
Greater international economic interconnectedness over recent decades has been changing inflation dynamics. This paper …, is an important channel through which global economic slack influences domestic inflation. In particular, we document the … inflation rates, both across countries and over time. Accounting for the role of GVCs, we also find that the conventional trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657108
policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940718
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
The inability of central banks to attain their target inflation rates in recent years has raised questions about the … extent to which central banks can control the inflation process. This paper discusses the evolution of thought and evidence … since the 1960s on the determinants of inflation and the role that should be played by central banks. The paper highlights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663503