This paper proposes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that endoge­nously generates inflation persistence … contrast with traditional sticky price models, the framework yields inflation inertia, a delayed effect of monetary policy … shocks on inflation, and the observed "reverse dynamic" correlation between inflation and economic activity …

This article shows how the recovery of inflation in 2009-10 occurred precisely at the only time (since 1985) the models … would predict disinflation, i.e., inflation went up when the models said it should go down …

inflation. We introduce a small idiosyncratic component in firms' marginal costs and let the economywide average marginal cost …

cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation … dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more flexible, leading output and inflation to be more volatile, and bonds … to become more risky. The model matches well the relation between the level of inflation and a number of salient macro …

This paper addresses the challenge of inflation forecasting by adopting a thick modeling approach that integrates … inflation volatility. By pooling insights from diverse modeling frameworks, this study provides a robust and effective strategy … for improving inflation forecasts across different horizons. …

We propose and test a new explanation for the rise and fall of the Great Inflation, a defining event in macroeconomics … inflation and further lowered the real return to saving, setting off an inflation spiral. The repeal of Regulation Q broke the … spiral by sending deposit rates sharply higher. We document that the rise and fall of the Great Inflation lines up closely …

cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation … dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more flexible, leading output and inflation to be more volatile, and bonds … to become more risky. The model matches well the relation between the level of inflation and a number of salient macro …

The US and other advanced countries suffered bursts of severe inflation in 2021 and the first half of 2022, followed by … declines of inflation later in 2022, in some countries. In times of high volatility of price determinants--cost and … productivity--inflation can jump upward and fall downward at high speed, contrary to the uniformly sticky behavior associated with …

effects of uncertainty shocks on inflation. We find the response of inflation to be statistically insignificant until mid …

Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …