Showing 1 - 10 of 6,125
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148171
This paper evaluates the quality of survey forecasts, their accuracy and unbiasedness, and their overall consistency. The paper also tries to find out whether the relationships between economic variables are the same in survey data and in the actual data. In other words we analyze whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503030
This paper evaluates the quality of survey forecasts, their accuracy and unbiasedness, and their overall consistency. The paper also tries to find out whether the relationships between economic variables are the same in survey data and in the actual data. In other words we analyze whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011140924
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699288
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503031
uncertainty is closely related to the output growth uncertainty. In forming expectations, individual forecasters seem to behave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011140923
; (iv) newer generation Phillips curve models with several timevarying features are a promising avenue for forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422133
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … useful information. By contrast, incorporating expectations derived from financial market prices or those of firms and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661632
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … useful information. By contrast, incorporating expectations derived from financial market prices or those of firms and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797207
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … useful information. By contrast, incorporating expectations derived from financial market prices or those of firms and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643485