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Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
unemployment. Our model succeeds in replicating the empirical fact of a downward sloping Phillips curve for low inflation rates and … an upward sloping curve for high inflation rates. The reason is that low inflation rates make saving, as opposed to …, when inflation exceeds a certain threshold, money is too costly to hold, which results in a decrease in output and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018950
We analyse the determinants of the inflation trends in ten Southeast European (SEE) countries. Global cost …-related factors and euro area inflation developments play an important role in explaining inflation dynamics in SEE countries. Changes … exchange to the euro area (EA) market appear to be susceptible to inflation spillovers from the euro area. Moreover, nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012101480
We analyze the determinants of the inflation trends in ten Southeast European (SEE) countries. Global cost …-related factors and euro area (EA) inflation developments play an important role in explaining inflation dynamics in SEE countries … exchange to euro area market appear to be susceptible to inflation spillovers from the euro area. Moreover, nominal effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012124587
During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are … sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative … relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969
Inflation dynamics have been difficult to explain over the last decade. This paper explores if a more comprehensive … treatment of globalization can help. CPI inflation has become more synchronized around the world since the 2008 crisis, but core … and wage inflation have become less synchronized. Global factors (including commodity prices, world slack, exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225141
observed puzzling co-movement. The computation also indicates that decrease in expected variation in inflation, results in … increased unemployment by 61.0 per cent decrease in the variation in expected inflation associated with a unit change in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881294