Showing 1 - 10 of 2,987
This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook …. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622377
We show that the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) outperforms standard benchmarks in forecasting U.S. inflation once … frequency-domain information is taken into account. We do so by decomposing the time series (of inflation and its predictors …) into several frequency bands and forecasting separately each frequency component of inflation. The largest statistically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208126
This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook …. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626269
and a smooth estimated trend. Based on output growth and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268018
and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap estimates from policy institutions, they find that real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992411
Empirical tests of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve have provided results often inconsistent with microeconomic evidence. To overcome the pitfalls of standard estimations on aggregate data, a Full Information Partial Equilibrium approach is developed to exploit sectoral level data. A model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907944
The diminished sensitivity of inflation to changes in resource utilization that has been observed in many advanced … examine this "globalization" hypothesis using both aggregate U.S. data on measures of inflation and economic slack and a rich … the overall decline in responsiveness of aggregate inflation to fluctuations in economic activity. This flattening of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012017495
This paper considers whether the Phillips curve can explain the recent behavior of inflation in the United States … historical data will overstate the responsiveness of inflation to present-day economic conditions. I modify the traditional … behavior of inflation without relying on anchored expectations. Specifically, I explore reasons why the slope might vary over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938784
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956
achieved by maximization of utility subject to budget constraint. An increase in inflation that is not accompanied by … about inflation which in turn requires appropriate modelling of inflationary behavior. This study assesses efficacies of … different versions of new Keynesian Phillips curve for capturing dynamics of CPI inflation. Estimation of different formulations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464675