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We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on the likelihood of equilibrium determinacy to be both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223995
This study first investigates the short and long-run effectsof exchange rate, output gap and output gap volatility on inflationvolatility in Turkey by using the ARDL bounds testing approach.Second, we also examine the causal relationship among these vari-ables by using Toda-Yamamoto and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187
I provide a generalization of Calvo price setting, to include non-overlapping contracts as a special case and embed this in a small DSGE model. The resulting Generalized Phillips Curve (GPC) nests New-Keynesian and Neoclassical versions. I linearize the model around a potentially non-zero trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143837
This paper proposes a full description of the Calvo price-setting model based on partial prices indexation and studies the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that using a hybrid version of the Phillips curve partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056511
I provide a generalization of Calvo price setting, to include non-overlapping contracts as a special case and embed this in a small DSGE model. The resulting Generalized Phillips Curve (GPC) nests New-Keynesian and Neoclassical versions. I linearize the model around a potentially non-zero trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835413
This note proposes a full description of the Calvo price-setting model based on partial prices indexation and studies the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that to use a hybrid version of the Phillips curve partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939355
We provide new evidence on the fit of the hybrid Phillips curve based on indexation of prices to lagged inflation and trend inflation for the Euro area and the United States over the period 1970-2002. The GMM-West estimates suggest that (i) a full indexation scheme is not data consistent whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939364
This paper proposes a new econometric framework for estimating trend inflation and the slope of the Phillips curve with a regime-switching model. As a unique aspect of our approach, we assume regimes for the trend inflation at one-percent intervals, and estimate the probability of the trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271664
The standard search model of unemployment predicts, under plausible assumptions about household preferences, that disembodied technological progress leads to higher unemployment. This prediction is at odds with the experience of industrialized countries in the 1970s. This paper shows that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440551