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This paper investigates the predictive ability of money for future inflation in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and … find in-sample evidence that money matters for future inflation at the policy horizons that central banks typically focus … on, but our pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise shows that money does not in general improve the inflation …
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We argue that monetary policies in euro-candidate countries should also aim at mitigating excessive instability of the key target and instrument variables of monetary policy during turbulent market periods. Our empirical tests show a significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of...
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