We estimated a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model describing the links between a banking sector and a real economy. We proposed a new method to verify robustness of impulse-response functions in a SVAR model. This method applies permutations of the variable ordering in a structural...

In this paper, we argue that the ECB’s unconventional monetary policy announcements have generated significant spillover effects in Russia and Eastern Europe. The hypothesis is tested using OLS estimations of event-based regressions on monetary policy event dummies and seven financial...

This paper presents an update of the structural macroeconometric model of the Polish economy NECMOD. The updated version of the model is, similarly as its predecessor, used at the National Bank of Poland for forecasting and policy simulation exercises. NECMOD is a hybrid, medium-scale and...

In the beginning of the XXI century, the global community faces numerous worldwide, regional and local challenges, problems and threats. The following can be may pointed out: crisis of debts, the threat of global finances collapse, uncontrolled demographic development, poverty and social...

This article addresses the allocation of Polish household savings that are invested in financial assets. As an economic category, these savings are very important in every country because they determine investments in the national economy, thereby influencing a country's further economic growth...

First, the concept of public expenditure multiplier is redefined to allow for import intensity of exports, and its value is estimated for Poland and the Czech Republic in 2008-2009. Next, on the basis of effective demand model of economic dynamics, there follows a comparative analysis of GDP...

This article addresses the allocation of Polish household savings that are invested in financial assets. As an economic category, these savings are very important in every country because they determine investments in the national economy, thereby influencing a country's further economic growth...

In this paper we study the issue of economic integration across borders for the case of Poland's reunification after the First World War. Using a pooled regression approach and a threshold cointegration framework we find that the Polish interwar economy can be regarded as integrated with some...

We analyze the market assessment of sovereign credit risk in an emerging market using a reduced-form model to price the credit default swap (CDS) spreads thus enabling us to derive values for the probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) from the quotes of sovereign CDS contracts....

This paper studies the transmission of monetary policy to macroeconomic variables in three new EU Member States in comparison with that in the euro area with structural time-varying coefficient vector autoregressions. In line with the Lucas Critique reduced-form models like standard VARs are not...