I estimate the impact of conflict in Ukraine between 2014 and 2020. I use the Synthetic Control Method to estimate the …

This paper documents the short-term and long-term trends in internal conflict in South Asian countries, using multiple … data sources. I find that incidents of terrorism have been rising across South Asia over the past decade, and this increase … patterns of conflict, and the evolution of other types of violence. Analyzing the role of economic, geographic and demographic …

When do opposition groups decide to mount a terrorism campaign and when do they enter an open civil conflict against … the ruling government? This paper models an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open conflict …. Terrorism emerges if executive constraints are intermediate and rents are sizeable. Open conflict is predicted to emerge under …

open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive … when considering the incidence and onset of terrorism and conflict. The corresponding magnitudes are economically sizeable …This paper proposes a simple framework to better understand an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and …