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The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189048
The modern Condorcet jury theorem states that under weak conditions, when voters have common interests, elections will aggregate information when the population is large, in any equilibrium. Here, we study the performance of large elections with population uncertainty. We find that the modern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806603
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009505577
In this paper we study the effect of optimistic income expectations on life satisfaction amongst the Chinese population … strong in the countryside and amongst rural-to-urban migrants. The importance of these expectations for life satisfaction is … particularly pronounced in the urban areas, though also highly significant for the rural area. If expectations were to reverse from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597452
This paper develops a political economy model of multiple unemployment equilibria to provide a theory of an endogenous natural rate of unemployment. This model is applied to the UK and the US interwar period which is remembered as the decade of mass unemployment. The theory here sees the natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791549
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599747
Human interactions with the environment can profoundly impact many outcomes – health being chief among them. While the nature of environmental risks changes across time and space, the burden of disease attributable to environmental risk hovers stubbornly around one quarter of the total global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023887
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013368811
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014333720
A behavioral political economy framework is built on the basis of prospect theory to explain the induced and imposed institutional changes during China's market reform, giving special attention to the integrated effects of economic and political institutions. According to prospect theory, how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065786