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Three econometric models were built to predict the 2020 General Election in Jamaica. These are the economics and … model with PNP leader acceptance (model 3). All three models accurately predicted a win for the Jamaica Labour Party. These … models show how the macro-economy, security concerns and party leader popularity influence election outcome, with similar …
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This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
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competing in a binary election may purchase votes in a sequential bidding game via up-front binding payments and/or campaign … promises (platforms) that are contingent upon the outcome of the election. We analyze the role of the parties’ budget …
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