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Since the seminal article of Bates and Granger (1969), a large number of theoretical and empirical studies have shown that pooling different forecasts of the same event tends to outperform individual forecasts in terms of forecast accuracy. However, the results remain heterogenous regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312208
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739700
Since the seminal article of Bates and Granger (1969), a large number of theoretical and empirical studies have shown that pooling different forecasts of the same event tends to outperform individual forecasts in terms of forecast accuracy. However, the results remain heterogenous regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046847
This paper analyzes the mechanics of VAR forecast pooling and quantifies the forecast performance under varying conditions. To fill the gap between empirical and purely theoretical research we run a Monte Carlo study and simulate the data from different New Keynesian DSGE models. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056701