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We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222892
We document that properly scaled deviations from put-call parity estimate the contribution of market frictions to expected returns (CFER) accurately, by means of a non-parametric theoretically founded identification strategy. The required conditions are that our estimator predicts the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852972
We model the S&P500 index options dynamics using the CGMY distribution, with independent "up" and "down" return jumps, and diffusive jump intensities. Allowing the up and down parts to be separately parameterised accounts for the dynamic smirk effect, without correlation between returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837432
Term premiums, defined as the excess return of long-dated contracts over short-dated contracts, in commodity futures are strongly predictable, both in the time series and in the cross section, by roll yield spreads. Strategies that exploit this predictability show sizable Sharpe ratios and are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959999
I study a novel data set of short-term dividend futures contracts for individual stocks. I combine this data with dividend forecasts from equity research analysts to construct a model-free measure of short-term equity risk premia. I provide the first description of the cross-section of risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043334
In this article, we propose an equilibrium pricing rule for the contingent claims by applying the economic premium principle initiated by Buhlmann (1980). The derivative markets in our model are over-the-counter (OTC) markets and have counterparty risks. We reconstruct the economic premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999558
Market index and individual stock returns exhibit jumps in addition to normal shocks. Equities have exposure to the market and sensitivity to the market is important for explaining equity returns and option prices. I develop a new factor model that explores (i) if a separate beta for market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936701
We develop a continuous-time intertemporal CAPM model that allows for risky beta exposure, which we explicitly specify. In the model, the expected return on a stock depends on beta's co-movement with market variance and more generally with the stochastic discount factor and deviates from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899147
We derive expected bond return equations for various structural credit valuation models with alternative stochastic processes and boundary conditions for default given in Merton [1974], Merton [1976], Black and Cox [1976], Heston [1993], Longstaff and Schwartz [1995], and Collin-Dufresne and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900804