This paper studies the role of global and regional variations in economic activity and policy in developed world in driving portfolio capital flows (PCF) to emerging markets (EMs) in a Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) framework. Results suggest that PCFs to EMs depend mainly on...

We study what makes government bonds a safe asset. Building on a sample of monthly changes in government bond yields in 40 advanced and emerging countries, we analyse the sensitivity of yields to country specific fundamentals interacted with changes in global risk (VIX). We find that inertia...

This paper tests one specific monetary transmission mechanism through households: portfolio rebalancing. We use a unique panel dataset of household's credit and debit card spending, ATM withdrawals, financial investments into risky assets such as mutual funds and equities, as well as bank...

We provide an analytical VaR approach for the credit portfolio with liquidity horizon and the constant level of risk. Given any time horizon, a two period credit portfolio loss model is derived and, at the end of the first period, the portfolio is rebalanced to ensure a constant level risk of...

We propose and backtest a multivariate Value-at-Risk model for financial returns based on Tukey's g-and-h distribution. This distributional assumption is especially useful if (conditional) asymmetries as well as heavy tails have to be considered and fast random sampling is of importance. To...

It is now an accepted fact that the majority of financial markets worldwide are neither normal nor constant, and South Africa is no exception. One idea that can be used to understand such markets and has been gaining popularity recently is that of regimes and regime-switching models. In this...