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When a developed-market investor buys emerging-market stocks, this investor may be justified not to hedge currency risk. Our analysis indicates that completely unhedged portfolios often perform better than fully hedged portfolios and are not significantly inferior to optimally hedged portfolios....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066628
Policymakers fear the potentially destabilizing impact of fickle global investors on emerging markets. Euro area investors are significant participants in emerging bond markets and exhibit volatile flows, but their fickleness does not result in indiscriminate periods of surge and flight....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240814
Studying all possible pairs of eleven major currencies and eleven portfolios in 1976-2008 we show that, when there is no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not diminish in time providing a strong case against the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008749219
We derive the optimal currency portfolio of an equity investor with no forecasting ability. This can be estimated based on observable parameters, including equity and currency covariances and the proportion of the investor's wealth held in risky assets. The currency position depends on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133477
Currency investors exhibit a tendency to cut risk by pairing both longs and shorts following losses and a weaker tendency to add risk following gains. By differentiating between position level, portfolio level and aggregate cross-portfolio losses in currency investments we demonstrate that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120179
We explain the currency carry trade performance using an asset pricing model in which factor loadings are regime-dependent rather than constant. Empirical results show that a typical carry trade strategy has much higher exposure to the stock market and is mean-reverting in regimes of high FX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095989
This article presents an overview of widely practiced short-term multi-currency investment strategies such as carry trade, momentum and term spread strategies. We provide evidence on their downside risk properties and illustrate their performance over historical episodes of financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092015
We propose a simple and dynamic approach to hedge currency risk which can directly be applied by international investors in diverse asset classes. Other than current mean-variance approaches it is robust to overfitting and can thus better anticipate optimal currency hedging for global equity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952513
This paper investigates mean reversion properties of real effective exchange rates (REERs) using a semi-parametric quantile autoregression approach. This method accounts for non-normality and captures asymmetric and dynamic adjustments towards the REER's long run equilibrium, conditional on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889946