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We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the computational complexity inherent in GPR inference and...
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management business and include the necessary background material in probability, statistics, and econometrics to make the book … QUANTITATIVE EQUITY MANAGEMENT -- LOOKING AHEAD FOR QUANTITATIVE EQUITY INVESTING -- Chapter 2: Financial Econometrics I: Linear … TREES -- SUMMARY -- Chapter 3: Financial Econometrics II: Time Series -- STOCHASTIC PROCESSES -- TIME SERIES -- STABLE …
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Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach, which is well suited for OTC derivative portfolio...
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We explore the performance of mixed-frequency predictive regressions for stock returns from the perspective of a Bayesian investor. We develop a constrained parameter learning approach for sequential estimation allowing for belief revisions. Empirically, we find that mixed-frequency models...
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