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The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust risk management. The proposed approach accounts for all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911323
Research related to aggregation, robustness, and model uncertainty of regulatory risk measures, for instance, Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES), is of fundamental importance within quantitative risk management. In risk aggregation, marginal risks and their dependence structure are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029101
We consider the problem of inference on a class of sets describing a collection of admissible models as solutions to a single smooth inequality. Classical and recent examples include the Hansen–Jagannathan sets of admissible stochastic discount factors, Markowitz–Fama mean–variance sets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757699
We present a class of flexible and tractable static factor models for the term structure of joint default probabilities, the factor copula models. These high-dimensional models remain parsimonious with pair-copula constructions, and nest many standard models as special cases. The loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619282
Investors have traditionally relied on mean-variance analysis to determine a portfolio’s optimal asset mix, but they have struggled to incorporate private equity into this framework because they do not know how to estimate its risk. The observed volatility of private equity returns is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225151
This article extends the variance ratio test of Lo and MacKinlay (1988) to tests of skewness and kurtosis ratios. The proposed tests are based on generalized methods of moments. In particular, overlapping observations are used and their dependencies (under the IID assumption) are explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688190
. Diagnostic analysis gives insight into model and strategy misspecification. Empirical results show that a smaller flexible model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011916443
Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are establishing themselves as an investment asset and are often named the New Gold. This study, however, shows that the two assets could barely be more different. Firstly, we analyze and compare conditional variance properties of Bitcoin and Gold as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906446
In this paper we consider the problem of inference on a class of sets describing a collection of admissible models as solutions to a single smooth inequality. Classical and recent examples include, among others, the Hansen-Jagannathan (HJ) sets of admissible stochastic discount factors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692023
We propose a framework that allows a portfolio manager to quantify the probability of simultaneous losses in multiple assets of a collateral portfolio. Using this framework, we propose a methodology to conduct stress tests on the market value of the portfolio of collateral when undesirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003462966