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This paper develops behavioral relationships explaining investors' demands for long-term bonds, using three alternative hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major categories of bond market investors, consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763222
This paper develops behavioral relationships explaining investors' demands for long-term bonds, using three alternative hypotheses about investors' expectations of future bond prices (yields). The results, based on U.S. 'data for six major categories of bond market investors, consistently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478678
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197343
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We propose an economically motivated forecast combination strategy in which model weights are related to portfolio … returns obtained by a given forecast model. An empirical application based on an optimal mean-variance bond portfolio problem … measures of forecast accuracy. We compute average net excess returns, standard deviation, and the Sharpe ratio of bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960063
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040