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A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
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distributions of both risk factors are thin-tailed,the credit loss distribution may have a finite tail index (polynomial tails … loss. This unconventionalbehaviour of the credit loss density has not been reported earlier in theliterature. We also … derive analytically the interaction between portfolioquality and credit loss tail behavior and find a striking difference …
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Evaluating risk measures, premiums, and capital allocation based on dependent multi-losses is a notoriously difficult task. In this paper, we demonstrate how this can be successfully accomplished when losses follow the multivariate Pareto distribution of the second kind, which is an attractive...
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-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and … probability of the market crashes, beyond and above other option-implied variables. Stock-specific tail loss measure predicts … cares about the left tail of her wealth distribution benefits from using the tail loss measure as an information variable to …
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