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To implement strategic asset allocation, we must determine risk and return expectations for the various asset classes. Starting from the paradigm that long-run asset returns are determined by the long-run fundamentals of the economy, a fair value approach to building expectations is crucial....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090038
Currently, many monetary and fiscal policy measures are aimed at preventing the financial market meltdown that started in the US subprime sector and has spread worldwide as a great recession. Although some slow recovery appears to be on the horizon, it is worthwhile exploring the fragility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003905077
In the last months, the world's economies were confronted with the largest economic recession since the Great Depression. The occurrence of a worldwide financial market meltdown as a consequence originally stemming from of the crisis in the US subprime housing sector was only prevented by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985522
What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099903
This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140238
Evidence on the portfolio holdings and transaction patterns of households suggests that the burden of inflation is not … this framework to study the distributional impact of inflation. At the aggregate level, our model economy behaves similarly … to standard monetary growth models within the representative agent abstraction. Inflation has, however, important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001599167
inflation volatility have revived the debate on medium to long-term resurgence of inflation. This paper presents the optimal … strategic asset allocation for investors seeking to hedge inflation risk. Using a vector-autoregressive model, we investigate …, inflation-linked bonds, equities, commodities and real estate play an essential role. In a stable environment (“Great Moderation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130334
increase in inflation volatility have revived the debate on medium to long-term resurgence of inflation. Using a vector …-autoregressive model, this paper investigates the relationships between asset returns and inflation and the optimal strategic asset … allocation for investors seeking to hedge inflation risk in two different types of macroeconomic regimes. In a volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067267
family under inflation risk. In the financial market, there is a liquid inflation-linked index bond market which can be … utilized to hedge the inflation risk. The explicit solutions for the optimal strategies including consumption rate, investment … optimal life insurance premium. Especially, the change of inflation rate has considerable impact on optimal life insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062696
Evidence on the portfolio holdings and transaction patterns of households suggests that the burden of inflation is not … this framework to study the distributional impact of inflation. At the aggregate level, our model economy behaves similarly … to standard monetary growth models within the representative agent abstraction. Inflation has, however, important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014173745