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purpose, cointegration was tested for between equities, bonds and real estate markets in the period 1980 to 2014, whereas the … U. S. monetary base M2 was used as an exogenous variable. Our cointegration tests suggest that the exogenous component …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026175
lower levels of wealth. We quantify how changingcorrelations between inflation, real bond and stock returns, and changes … inthe inflation process affect household portfolios. Higher mean inflationincreases stock market participation, while … portfolios shift to bonds andstocks, and away from money. A negative inflation-bond return correlation,or a positive stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855825
impact on stock holdings, while inflation risk can give rise to significant hedging demands. The impact of inflation … volatility depends on whether stocks are a hedge against inflation risk. Higher inflation volatility reduces (increases) stock … at lower levels of financial wealth. Higher mean inflation leads to a reallocation between money and bonds with a modest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905000
implications to risk-based asset allocation. Using a regime-switching model that controls for the economic effects of monetary … policy we identify three co-movement regimes. We document that risk-based portfolio strategies poorly perform in the low … correlation regime which features inflation shocks. We find outperformance evidence under the negative correlation regime with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996001
The modern theory on money demand incorporates the evolution of financial markets behaviour, and then of households … utility of money holdings, through wealth and substitution effects. Liquidity has to be weighted with risk aversion and … function, and utility depends on profitability and liquidity, the first being related to risk too. Futures are (more) liquid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014057163
Tobin (1958) has argued that in the face of potential capital losses on bonds it is reasonable to hold cash as a means to transfer wealth over time. It is shown that this assertion cannot be sustained taking into account the evolution of wealth of cash holders versus non cash holders. Cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014032025
estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find that for most European countries the dividend-price ratio and inflation …We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model … the long-horizon allocation. Parameter uncertainty plays a second-order role, dominated by strong variation in the dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
estimated to be about 7% in 2007 with large standard errors mainly due to uncertainty in asset prices. The gap between actual … euro area M3 growth and model-based fitted or predicted values helps forecast euro area inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789419
The paper aims to examine the effects of global economic policy uncertainty and monetary policy on corporate investment … uncertainty and analyzes the determinants of firms’ investments, particularly financial and fixed investments. The study shows … that monetary policy, relative risk in fixed investment, and the risk-adjusted return gap between financial and fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404426
beta risk in emerging stock markets. The results imply that investors interested in hedging inflation in emerging markets … should go beyond individual asset classes and embrace the portfolio optimization concept to reduce inflation risk. Given the …This study evaluated the relationship between inflation and infrastructure sector stock returns in emerging markets in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219374