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indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) inflation tail risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053675
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399
Inflation risk is greatest in times of national or global stress; inflation risk is a form of a “tail risk.” A … traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds is exposed to inflation risk. The specific nature of an investor's liabilities and … spending determines inflation sensitivity beyond that of the asset portfolio. Commodities and TIPS are the most effective short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103540
family under inflation risk. In the financial market, there is a liquid inflation-linked index bond market which can be … utilized to hedge the inflation risk. The explicit solutions for the optimal strategies including consumption rate, investment … optimal life insurance premium. Especially, the change of inflation rate has considerable impact on optimal life insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062696
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … inflation risks are not necessarily reduced with the inclusion of real estate assets in the minimum variance portfolio. Our … investors for holding the less attractive inflation-linked debt asset. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
This paper studies the investment returns and asset allocation policies of college and university endowments who share annual performance and asset allocation data with the National Association of College and University Business Officers (NACUBO) annual endowment study. In this paper, we review...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997649
This paper highlights the use of a new strategic approach within a quantitative investment methodology in the context of making prudent asset allocation decisions. Three asset classes will frame the dynamic asset allocation discussion: Equities, Fixed Income, and Hedge Funds. The quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003309
This paper evaluates the performance of carry trade strategies with macro fundamentals in a Markov switching dynamic factor augmented regression framework and compares the performance statistics with the benchmark model of a random walk and momentum strategy. I make simulations with the Japanese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963675
We introduce a novel application of support vector machines (SVM), an important machine learning algorithm, to determine the beginning and end of recessions in real time. Nowcasting, forecasting a condition in the present time because the full information will not be available until later, is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894791
Macro-based asset allocation, i.e., the identification of turning points in macro-financial cycles and the allocation of assets accordingly, has attracted a lot of interest in recent years. This interest was sparked by volatile financial markets, more synchronized returns across asset classes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012152009