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Far from the madding crowd : collective wisdom in prediction markets
Bottazzi, Giulio; Giachini, Daniele - 2016
We investigate market selection and bet pricing in a simple Arrow security economy which we show is equivalent to the repeated prediction market models studied in the literature. We derive the condition for long run survival of more than one agent (the crowd) and quantify the information content...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446471
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A trend factor : Any economic gains from using information over investment horizons?
Han, Yufeng; Zhou, Guofu; Zhu, Yingzi - In: Journal of financial economics 122 (2016) 2, pp. 352-375
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590910
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Forecasting value-at-risk under temporal and portfolio aggregation
Kole, Erik; Markwat, Thijs; Opschoor, Anne; Dijk, Dick van - 2015
We examine the impact of temporal and portfolio aggregation on the quality of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts over a … based on asset class, or into a single portfolio. We compare the impact of aggregation to that of choosing a model for the … that the degree of temporal aggregation is most important. Daily returns form the best basis for VaR forecasts. Modelling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431503
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Forecasting value-at-risk under temporal and portfolio aggregation
Kole, Erik; Markwat, Thijs; Opschoor, Anne; Dijk, Dick van - In: Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of … 15 (2017) 4, pp. 649-677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987663
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Ambiguous Aggregation of Expert Opinions : The Case of Optimal R&D Investment
Athanassoglou, Stergios; Bosetti, Valentina; de Maere … - 2014
ambiguity over the aggregation of expert opinion and a decision-maker's attitude towards it. In line with the paper's focus on R … ambiguous aggregation into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014041511
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Forecasting Value-at-Risk Under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation
Kole, Erik - 2017
We examine the impact of temporal and portfolio aggregation on the quality of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts over a … based on asset class, or into a single portfolio. We compare the impact of aggregation to that of choosing a model for the … that the degree of temporal aggregation is most important. Daily returns form the best basis for VaR forecasts. Modelling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970357
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Quantile aggregation and combination for stock return prediction
Jiang, Chuanliang; Maasoumi, Esfandiar; Xiao, Zhijie - In: Econometric reviews 39 (2020) 7, pp. 715-743
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262517
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An asset protection scheme for banks exposed to troubled loan portfolios
Grosen, Anders; Jessen, Pernille; Kokholm, Thomas - In: Journal of economics and finance 38 (2014) 4, pp. 568-588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333830
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Asymmetric information, trading volume, and protfolio performance
Jackson, Antony - In: Corporate ownership & control : international … 11 (2013/14) 1, pp. 8-23
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313906
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Portfolio delegation and market efficiency
Malamud, Semyon; Petrov, Evgeny - 2014
We develop a two-period general equilibrium model of portfolio delegation with competitive, differentially skilled managers and convex compensation contracts. We show that convex incentives lead to significant equilibrium mispricing, but reduce price volatility. In particular, price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337960