Der richtige Riecher für Trends allein genügt nicht. Nur wer die Konjunktur systematisch beobachtet, wird die wirtschaftlichen Eckdaten treffsicher interpretieren können. Was bewegt die Kapitalmärkte? Die Konjunktur-Barometer sollten konsequent für das Portfoliomanagement genutzt werden....

The scarcity of up-to-date data is a meaningful constraint in the analysis of capital flows, especially for Emerging Markets (EMs). Indeed, the most commonly used source of cross-country data on capital flows is the Balance of Payments (BoP) statistics collected by the International Monetary...

Common research suggests that investor sentiment is negatively related to future stock returns and positively related to future volatility. I incorporate this idea in the asset allocation process by blending both views on the expected return and the conditional value at risk (CVaR) based on...