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This paper describes the international flow of funds associated with calm and volatile global equity markets. During calm periods, portfolio investment by real money and leveraged investors in advanced countries flows into emerging markets. When central banks in the receiving countries resist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690839
Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns. This paper employs two time-varying factor models: a threshold model and a Markov-switching model to price the excess returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591966
Although, according to uncovered interest rate parity, exchange rates should move so as to prevent the carry trade being systematically profitable, there is a vast empirical literature demonstrating the opposite. High interest currencies more often tend to appreciate rather than depreciate, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198460
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036271
In most countries, the central bank is required to hold reserve assets as a means of providing credibility for the value of the fiat currency. These assets can be in the form of gold, foreign exchange or some other internationally recognised reserve asset and are held to permit the country to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450546
The main objective of this paper is to investigate the diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade crashes during the turbulent periods surrounding the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis and the 2007-2008 global financial crisis. The motivation is to use an important tendency of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898585
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806754
One of the most serious problems that a central bank in an emerging market economy can face is the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Hoarding international reserves can be used to smooth the impact of such reversals, but these reserves are seldom sufficient and always expensive to hold. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230146
In the early 1970s, the portfolio theory of exchange rates with rational expectations was introduced to explain the … empirically convincing results. Over the years, the theory has been extended to a general equilibrium setting and modified to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074318
This paper analyzes the performance of index-based portfolios across developed, emerging, and frontier markets. Besides considering stocks and bonds for portfolio construction, we investigate how investment opportunity sets are enlarged when credit default swaps (CDSs) are added into portfolios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938372