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Fund trades and prices vary systematically with the quarterly reporting cycle. Funds are more likely to complete the building of a position at quarter-end, which is when most funds report positions to investors, and begin building new positions afterwards. While some of the observed shift in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853490
Discount rates affect stock prices directly via the discount-rate channel or indirectly via the cash-flow channel because expected future cash-flow growth varies with the discount rates. The traditional Macaulay duration captures the effect from the discount-rate channel. I propose a novel...
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This study reveals the information content of individual investors' risk-adjusted return expectations. Although individual investors overestimate the performance of their stock purchases on average, the cross-sectional variation in their risk-adjusted return expectations is predictive of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062946
Relying on a comprehensive data set of news releases, we construct monthly firm-level news sentiment scores during the 2000–2016 period and document a news momentum phenomenon of stocks with more positive news in the past generating more positive news in the future. We propose three hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909354
Using a large panel of U.S. accounts trades and positions, we show that retail investors trade as contrarians after large earnings surprises, especially for loser stocks, and such contrarian trading contributes to post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) and momentum. Indeed, when we double-sort...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312913
Individual investors have an incredible variety of sources for investment guidance. These include internet blogs, financial publications, books, newsletters and, of course, television shows. We examine a relatively new but widely popular source of investment advice, buy and sell recommendations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117043
Using 1990 through 2013 data of U.S. firms with foreign operations, we show that (1) the serial correlation of analyst forecast errors increases to the degree that firms diversify internationally, (2) post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) based on analyst forecast errors increases to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968824
This paper documents a significantly negative cross-sectional relation between left-tail risk and future returns on individual stocks trading in the U.S. and international countries. We provide a behavioral explanation to this anomaly based on the idea that investors underestimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853459