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Momentum profits can be explained by exposure to risks omitted from common factor models (distress risk, idiosyncratic risk, and covariance with corporate bonds) and underreaction to innovations in these risks. Momentum strategies tend to go long risky stocks with high expected returns....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104921
Using 1990 through 2013 data of U.S. firms with foreign operations, we show that (1) the serial correlation of analyst forecast errors increases to the degree that firms diversify internationally, (2) post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) based on analyst forecast errors increases to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968824
of the market returns. However, the investors' fear gauge of the volatility index decreases when the lagged term of ANCI …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084067
. Proposed extensions include a volatility regime switching mechanism (using dummy variables and the Markov approach) and the … fifth risk factor based on realized volatility of index returns. Moreover, instead of using data for stocks of a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
This paper examines the interaction between short-run return reversals, momentum and idiosyncratic volatility in the … Australian market. We confirm that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility earn low average returns over the next month. Unlike … examine whether the momentum effect is persistent in stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility. We find that stocks with high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138969
) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of those objections within the rational finance. We do not claim that those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
After the crisis of 2008 that affected the United States, financial analysts began to see stock markets with low confidence due to the lack of fidelity of deterministic models in general. Statistical methods, which use past information to predict the future have always been used. It is a fact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941421
remains a question. Using a simple model to illustrate the linkage between idiosyncratic volatility and investor overreaction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012436
This paper examines volatility interdependencies between value and momentum returns. Using U.S. data over the period … 1926-2015, we document persistent periods of low and high volatility spillovers between value and momentum strategies …. Moreover, we find that the intensity of the volatility spillovers may change substantially in very short periods of time and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854544
Stocks with increases in idiosyncratic risk tend to earn low subsequent returns for a few months. However, high idiosyncratic risk stocks eventually earn persistently high returns. These results are consistent with positively priced idiosyncratic risk and temporary underreaction to idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857267