What is the probability of high inflation; how high, when? These questions are important to all investors since even … characterizes this as The War On Savers. Higher inflation is possible, at 4% or more, with even worse effects. There are heated … debates about the probability and timing of high inflation, but our review of the extensive literature reveals no reliable way …

This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …

The Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PIT) proposed in this study investigates the role of global financial markets in … inflation to rise due to a large exchange rate pass-through, with limited or no impact on output. On the other hand, high … dissipated and higher inflation reflects such dissipation. …

taken by domestic agents. The Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI) developed in this study assumes that some critical … higher inflation, with limited or no impact on output. On the other hand, high credibility creates space for effective and …

We introduce a new measure called Inflation-at-Risk (I@R) associated with (left and right) inflation tail risk. We … estimate I@R using survey-based density forecasts. We show that it contains information not covered by usual inflation risk … indicators which focus on inflation uncertainty and do not distinguish between the risks of low or high future inflation outcomes …