We recover a forward-looking distribution of expected abnormal returns (alphas)for active equity mutual funds from analyst ratings. Professional analysts believe thatalphas are dispersed, that the average fund will underperform, and that the largestfunds will outperform. We estimate a rational...

I collect a registry-based dataset on the personal portfolios of Swedish mutual fund managers. The managers who invest personal money in the very same funds they professionally manage outperform the managers who do not. The main results are consistent with a Berk and Green (2004) equilibrium in...

I collect a registry-based dataset on the personal portfolios of Swedish mutual fund managers. The managers who invest (a lot of) personal money in their own funds generate positive abnormal returns. Some managers are betting on their best ideas by investing personal money in individual...

The largest asset managers in the world report their expectations publicly in so-called capital market assumptions. We collect these expectations and revisit the relationship between equity premium expectations and equity valuation ratios. Asset managers' equity premium expectations are high...