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A review of optimal investment rules in electricity generation -- A Survey of Commodity Markets and Structural Models for Electricity Prices -- Fourier based valuation methods in mathematical finance -- Mathematics of Swing Options: A Survey -- Inference for Markov-regime switching models of...
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The allocation of research and development (R&D) funds across a portfolio of programs must simultaneously consider uncertainty from research outcomes and from market acceptance of the resulting technologies. We introduce a stochastic R&D portfolio management framework for addressing both sources...
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How should a decision-maker allocate R&D funds when a group of experts provides divergent estimates on a technology's potential effectiveness? To address this question, we propose a simple decision-theoretic framework that takes into account ambiguity over the aggregation of expert opinion and a...
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of risk assessment from the viewpoint of risk theory, focusing on moment-based, distortion and spectral risk measures. We …
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the implications of two alternative specifications of preferences: one based on expected utility theory and the other on … prospect theory. It also uses survey data to estimate models of ex-ante rather than ex-post returns. The empirical analysis …. Like earlier studies, we find little support for the expected utility theory model. By contrast, the prospect theory model …
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We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent from the driving Brownian motion, and they are supposed to be currently...
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