Bilateral derivatives valuation is subject to counterparty credit risk (CCR) in that a counterparty could jump to default or its credit spread could vary over time. In the nomenclature of risk management, the former is called CCR exposure and the later leads to credit valuation adjustment (CVA)....

In this chapter we describe stress testing at banks covering the major products and businesses in which banks engage. This includes commercial and retail lending, capital markets (investment banking, sales and trading), and trust and custody. We cover loss and net income modeling and thus...

This paper develops a formula to numerically estimate the unsubsidized, fair-market value of the toxic assets purchased with Federal Reserve loans. It finds that subsidy rates on these loans were on average 33.9 percent at origination. In contrast, by the 3rd quarter of the 2010, there was on...

XVA models for the calculation of CVA, FVA (see for example (Burgard and Kjaer 2013)), KVA(Green, Kenyon, and Dennis 2014), MVA (Green and Kenyon 2014) and TVA (Kenyon and Green 2014a) have frequently been formulated at the counterparty level. However, it is clear that some elements of the...

Equity-linked notes are flexible financial products that give investors favorable capital treatment. The payoff of a note depends on the performance of a basket of equities or indices averaged over a certain period, but is bounced below by a guaranteed amount. This article presents a new model...

I study the history and performance of commercial real estate (CRE) in the pension fund portfolio, showing how many plan sponsors fundamentally changed their approach to CRE investment once underfunding gaps began to emerge in the early and middle 2000s. Several new empirical facts are...

This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with market uncertainty. During calm periods, the underlying risk forecast models...

A system is implemented that simulates a bond portfolio over the long-term of liabilities. It pays all liabilities and extracts continuously a fixed percentage of remaining liabilities to stakeholders while maintaining a strategic asset allocation. This fixed percentage is proposed as return...

This study presents an analysis of the impact of asset price bubbles on the markets for cryptocurrencies and con-siders the standard risk management measure Value-at-Risk (“VaR”). We apply the theory of local martingales, present a styled model of asset price bubbles in continuous time and...

This study presents an analysis of the impact of asset price bubbles on the markets for cryptocurrencies and con-siders the standard risk management measure Value-at-Risk (“VaR”). We apply the theory of local martingales, present a styled model of asset price bubbles in continuous time and...