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Long run returns predictability and volatility with moving averages
Chang, Chia-Lin; Ilomäki, Jukka; Laurila, Hannu; … - In: Risks : open access journal 6 (2018) 4, pp. 1-18
This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
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Idiosyncratic Risk Innovations and the Idiosyncratic Risk-Return Relation
Rachwalski, Mark - 2020
Stocks with increases in idiosyncratic risk tend to earn low subsequent returns for a few months. However, high idiosyncratic risk stocks eventually earn persistently high returns. These results are consistent with positively priced idiosyncratic risk and temporary underreaction to idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857267
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Idiosyncratic Volatility and the Cross-Section of Anomaly Returns : Is Risk Your Ally?
Zaremba, Adam - 2018
) legs of the anomaly portfolios with the highest idiosyncratic volatility produces monthly abnormal returns ranging from 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913480
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Idiosyncratic Volatility, Return Reversals and Momentum : Australian Evidence
Grant, Andrew R. - 2010
This paper examines the interaction between short-run return reversals, momentum and idiosyncratic volatility in the … Australian market. We confirm that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility earn low average returns over the next month. Unlike … examine whether the momentum effect is persistent in stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility. We find that stocks with high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138969
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Simple market timing with moving averages
Ilomäki, Jukka; Laurila, Hannu; McAleer, Michael - 2018
average daily returns, even though the volatility is virtually unchanged when the frequency is lower. The volatility from the … highest to the lowest frequency is about 30% lower as compared with the buy-and-hold strategy volatility, but the average … returns approach the buy-and-hold returns when frequency is lower. The 30% reduction in volatility appears if we invest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848115
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Average skewness matters!
Jondeau, Eric; Zhang, Qunzi - 2015
Average skewness, which is defined as the average of monthly skewness values across firms, performs well at predicting future market returns. This result still holds after controlling for the size or liquidity of the firms or for current business cycle conditions. We also find that average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412455
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Paper profits from value, size and momentum : Evidence from the Polish market
Zaremba, Adam; Konieczka, Przemysław - In: E-Finanse : finansowy kwartalnik internetowy 11 (2015) 3, pp. 58-69
In this paper we investigate sources and characteristics of value, size and momentum profits on the Polish stock market. The research aims to broaden the academic knowledge in a few ways. First, we deliver fresh out-of-sample evidence on value, momentum, and size premiums. Second, we analyzemthe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455379
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Text-Based Industry Momentum
Hoberg, Gerard - 2017
We test the hypothesis that low visibility shocks to text-based network industry peers can explain industry momentum. We consider industry peer firms identified through 10-K product text and focus on economic peer links that do not share common SIC codes. Shocks to less visible peers generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972674
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Do Decomposed Financial Ratios Predict Stock Returns and Fundamentals Better?
Jiang, Xiaoquan - 2010
We investigate the prediction of excess returns and fundamentals by financial ratios – dividend-price ratio, earnings-price ratio, and book-to-market ratio – by decomposing financial ratios into a cyclical component and a stochastic trend component. We find both components predict excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149104
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Idiosyncratic moments and the cross-section of stock returns in Brazil
Ricca, Bernardo; Almeida, Caio; Tessari, Cristina - In: Brazilian review of econometrics : BRE ; the review of … 36 (2016) 2, pp. 255-286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644511