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Economic assets can be classified into two broad categories: those earning an inherent return and those earning a fiat money return. This article shows that both are valued according to the same general principle based on GDP (a constant equal to expected long term real per capita GDP growth)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405892
discrete regime shifts, and I find that the time-varying impact of inflation on confidence enables the model to match bond … growth and inflation. The impact of inflation on confidence has moved considerably over time and switched on average from … risks over different subperiods. The model can also account for stock and bond return predictability, and correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244577
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … such as interest rates, (expected) inflation, output growth and dividend payouts. We also view risk aversion, and … uncertainty about inflation and output as additional potential factors. Even the best-fitting economic factor model fits the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132852
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003556922
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … such as interest rates, (expected) inflation, output growth and dividend payouts. We also view risk aversion, and … uncertainty about inflation and output as additional potential factors. Even the best-fitting economic factor model fits the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617371
-form expressions for the vector of expected bond returns and for the covariance matrix of bond returns based on a general class of well … heteroskedasticity in bond returns. An empirical application involving a data set with 15 fixed income securities with different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077636
particular, we look at interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, price volatility, and liquidity risk as different risk … benchmark allocation - Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index. In the current low yield environment with flattening yield curves, we … find that the strategy favors allocation to the short end of the interest rate curve and inflation-protected securities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893781
Equities tend to give high returns accompanied with high risk level. Commodities exhibit similar nature but exhibit inverse return movements compared to equities. Although, Equities and Commodities have risk- return parity, the volume traded in commodities is much larger and have longer trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990885
The position of countries in a network of external portfolio investments provides a novel macroeconomic characteristic to explain violations of uncovered interest rate parity. I derive a network centrality measure, where central countries are highly integrated with key suppliers of tradeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211361
This paper studies long-run trends in the expected return on risky assets and its relationship with the safe rate. We use time-varying return predictability regressions to estimate expected returns on two major risky asset classes – equity and housing – across 17 countries and 145 years. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840485