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This paper provides a microfounded information acquisition technology based on a simple framework with information search. When searchable information is limited, an agent encounters increasingly more redundant information in his search for new information. Redundancy slows down the learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529422
Epstein and Schneider (2007) develop a framework of learning under ambiguity, generalizing maxmin preferences of Gilboa …-post rejection of theories gives rise to choices that are in sharp contradiction with ambiguity aversion. Concrete, the intertemporal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424809
I study the effects of risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) on optimal portfolios and equilibrium asset prices … ambiguity leads to portfolio inertia and excess volatility. Specifically, when news is surprising, then investors may not react …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133587
I study the effects of aversion to risk and ambiguity (uncertainty in the sense of Knight (1921)) on the value of the … ambiguity can explain high expected stock market returns and excess volatility and kurtosis of stock market returns. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134524
under ambiguity, called Shadow probability theory, a generalization of the Choquet expected utility. In this model … probability space. The level of ambiguity, and the decision maker's attitude toward it, are measured with respect to the directing …. The desired distinction between preferences and beliefs and between risk and ambiguity is then obtained. A measure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119880
We present comprehensive evidence in support of giving liquidity equal standing to size, value/growth, and momentum as investment styles, as defined by Sharpe (1992). First, we show that financial market liquidity, as identified by stock turnover, is an economically significant indicator of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093548
Empirical Studies of household portfolios have shown that young and relatively poor households hold under-diversified portfolios that are concentrated in a small number of assets, a fact often attributed to various behavioral biases. We present a model in which relatively poor investors, i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069115
Unknown model parameters, like expected returns, cannot be accurately estimated from short samples. Respective estimation error most likely leads to the portfolio, inconsistent with its target risk/return profile. We investigate the ways of reducing the impact of estimation error on portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071700
This thesis investigates models of market risk assessment based on genetic algorithms, with specific reference to asset portfolio choice under volatile market conditions. It does so by developing computational simulations of asset portfolios, which are then subjected to stressful price events. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075302
We explore a satisficing approach (Simon, 1955) to measure risk preference, which suggests cognitive limitations to decision making. In an experiment, subjects invest in a portfolio that contains a risk-free bond and a risky asset which has high or low return states with equal probability. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075886