We examine the impact of return predictability and parameter uncertainty on investors' long-term portfolio allocations in the context of disappointment aversion. We find persisting horizon effects, with stocks appearing progressively more attractive at longer horizons as opposed to shorter ones....

Following Cooper et al. 2004 we test whether market states are relevant for predicting UK momentum profits. However, rather than simply categorizing up/down markets based on actual prices as Cooper et al. 2004, we suggest investors may view expectations and/or sentiment as important. Contrary to...

“Narrow framing” is a widely documented behavioral bias that predicts, instead of evaluating all their risk components as a whole, people often evaluate risks in isolation, separately from other risks they are already facing. Using representative survey data from the China Household Finance...