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rely on these probability measures. Downside risk neutral probabilities allow to value assets in a simple mean …The price of any asset can be expressed with risk neutral probabilities, which are adjusted to incorporate risk … preferences. This paper introduces the concepts of downside (respectively outer) risk neutral probabilities, which are adjusted to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936737
neutral measure, which is also a risk-adjusted measure. Using risk preference theory, we interpret this change in probability … utility functions and probability distributions. This probability measure, the ``downside risk neutral'' measure, is adjusted …We show that there exists a probability measure under which the CAPM formula for expected returns holds for general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937467
an increase in ambiguity is associated with increased investor activity. It also leads to a reduction in risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387918
their risk aversion parameter invest less in risky assets than wealthy investors with identical risk aversion uncertainty …We show that if an agent is uncertain about the precise form of his utility function, his actual relative risk aversion … may depend on wealth even if he knows his utility function lies in the class of constant relative risk aversion (CRRA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115460
investors, ambiguity aversion generates strong home bias in equity holdings, regardless of beliefs in the CAPM or risk aversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060281
-)variance of power plant profits. If investors are risk-averse, these differ- ences lead to divergent investment portfolios …, breaking the equivalence of price- and quantity-based policy instruments under risk-neutrality. Using the European power sector … diversification value of these assets. Uncertainty about the stringency of carbon taxes leads to lower shares of fossil fuel assets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015271324
Epstein and Schneider (2007) develop a framework of learning under ambiguity, generalizing maxmin preferences of Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989) to intertemporal settings. The specific belief dynamics in Epstein and Schneider (2007) rely on the rejection of initial priors that have become...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424809
We address the problem of choosing a portfolio of policies under "deep uncertainty." We introduce the idea of belief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504367
define the individual degree of pessimism as an index measuring probability differences across states. We show that the … degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk … tolerance. From this central result, we show how increasing disagreement on the state probability affects the state probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
This paper deals with capital budgeting decisions under uncertainty. We present an Aggregate Return On Investment (AROI … which, compared with the risk-adjusted cost of capital, correctly signals wealth creation. For choosing between two mutually … exclusive projects, we derive an incremental AROI and an incremental risk-adjusted cost of capital, by means of which two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973932