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Recent literature deals with bounds on the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of risky portfolios when only the marginal distributions of the components are known. In this paper we study Value-at-Risk bounds when the variance of the portfolio sum is also known, a situation that is of considerable interest in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034868
adjusts the exposure level based on a measure of tail risk obtained by applying Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938485
Present market instabilities have prompted great interest on the characteristics of specific portfolios such as minimum variance and equally- weighted risk contribution portfolios as these portfolios do not rely on the estimate of expected returns. Indeed, in turmoil periods traditional market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018612
Volatility is usually considered as a synonym for risk. Mainstream financial theory states that higher portfolio … framework that encompasses various investment styles and portfolio construction methodologies. Modern Portfolio Theory is a one … theory. We show that Markowitz portfolios and Warren Buffett's investment style are valid special cases of optimal growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018815
Many sophisticated investors rely on scenario analysis to select a portfolio. These investors define prospective economic scenarios, assign probabilities to them, translate the scenarios into expected asset class returns, and select the portfolio with the highest expected return or expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245036
The Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) has been the cornerstone of the asset allocation for over 40 years. In the past …, such as the recent sub-prime crisis. The proposed Leveraged Portfolio Theory (LPT) removes the most fundamental axiom of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905661
The paper is focused on an ex-post investment performance analysis. Firstly, we create a suite of return, risk, return to risk and benchmark related measures with immediate real life applications in mind. We define and describe these measures and provide real data examples where appropriate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966013
This paper develops new financial theory to link the third order stochastic dominance for risk-averse and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850629
In this paper we give a resume of the correlation concept that underlies the models for credit risk measurement, for the rating of structured products, for the pricing of (tranches of) structured products, and for Basel II capital charges. We discuss how securitization has changed the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214336
We examine in this paper the training and test set performance of several equity factor models with a dataset of 20 years of data, 1,200 stocks and 100 factors. First, we examine several models to forecast expected returns, which can be used as baselines for more complex models: linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255242