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This paper studies the role of global and regional variations in economic activity and policy in developed world in driving portfolio capital flows (PCF) to emerging markets (EMs) in a Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) framework. Results suggest that PCFs to EMs depend mainly on...
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In this paper, a dynamic inflation-protected investment strategy is presented, which is based on traditional asset … classes and Markov-switching models. Different stock market, as well as inflation regimes are identified, and within those … regimes, the inflation hedging potential of stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities and gold are investigated. Within each …
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This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily … and policies aimed to stimulate output growth dissipate into domestic currency depreciation and higher inflation, with …
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significantly in 2021. Inflation jumped to levels not seen for 40 years in the EU. Our study aims to use artificial intelligence to … forecast inflation. We also use artificial intelligence to forecast stock index changes. Based on the forecasts, we propose … portfolio reallocation decisions to protect against inflation. The forecasting literature does not address the importance of …
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