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This paper seeks to identify computationally efficient importance sampling (IS) algorithms for estimating large … importance sampling to estimate large deviation probabilities in those models. Numerical evidence indicates that the proposed …
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In a bonus-malus system in car insurance, the bonus class of a customer is updated from one year to the next as a function of the current class and the number of claims in the year (assumed Poisson). Thus the sequence of classes of a customer in consecutive years forms a Markov chain, and most...
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