A decent budgetary portfolio is nothing more, and nothing less, than an accumulation of advantages that develop in quality and produce abundance money for the financial specialist to spend or reinvest. Markowitz (1959) is one of the pioneers of present day portfolio hypothesis. Generally, the...

Investors utility has been mathematically modeled at 1738 by Daniel Bernoulli as an attempt to capture investors preferences to lottery outcomes. Ever since the analysis of decision making under uncertainty has again become a major focus of interest. Kahneman and Tversky in 1979 suggested a more...

The aim of this paper is to determine whether forward-looking option-implied returns forecasts lead to better out-of-sample portfolio performance than conventional time series models. We consider a simple two-asset setting with a risk-free asset and the S&P 500 index the risky asset with monthly...

This paper studies the valuation of multiple American options in an incomplete market where asset prices follow Markov-modulated dynamics. The holder's optimal hedging and exercising strategies are determined from a utility maximization problem with optimal multiple stopping. We analyze the...

Classical quantitative finance models such as the Geometric Brownian Motion or its later extensions such as local or stochastic volatility models do not make sense when seen from a physics-based perspective, as they are all equivalent to a negative mass oscillator with a noise. This paper...

This paper surveys the literature that deals with the informational content of market option prices for the purposes of quantitative asset management. We review studies that have investigated whether market option prices may help a portfolio manager in the stock selection process, portfolio...

We study learning and uncertainty under the factor investing paradigm using an endogenous information model with correlated assets. As investors shift attention from firms towards systematic risk factors, stock prices become less informative, increasing systematic uncertainty and incentivizing...

This paper studies the effects of financial speculation on commodity futures returns, using publicly available data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, aggregated by trader groups. We exploit the heteroskedasticity in the weekly data to identify exogenous variation in speculators'...