Overall, 72 subjects invest their endowment in four risky assets. Each com-bination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns. Illusion of expertise prevails when one prefers nevertheless the self-selected portfolio. After being randomly assigned to groups of four...

High sentiment predicts low market returns and high arbitrage returns. This empirical evidence has important implications for portfolio optimization. Exploiting the eigenvalue-decomposition of the mean-variance portfolio, I show that its performance is the sum of two components: a market...

The paper examines a game-theoretic evolutionary model of a financial market with endogenous equilibrium asset prices. Assets pay dividends that are partially consumed and partially reinvested. The traders use general, adaptive strategies (portfolio rules), distributing their wealth between...