In this paper we propose a new measure for systemic risk: the Financial Risk Meter (FRM). This measure is based on the … parameters over the 100 largest US publicly traded financial institutions. We demonstrate the suitability of this risk measure by … comparing the proposed FRM to other measures for systemic risk, such as VIX, SRISK and Google Trends. We find that mutual …

This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the … periods, the underlying risk forecast models produce similar risk readings; hence, model risk is typically negligible. However … the reliability of risk readings. Finally, particular conclusions on the underlying reasons for the high model risk and …

This paper revisits the performance of frequently used risk forecasting methods, such as the Value-at-Risk models. The …

challenges in terms of implementation, risk quantification and impacts on capital requirements. This paper first suggests an … risk capital and presents an illustration applied to an option position. Second, it proposes a methodology to estimate the …

, heavy tails, and nonellipticity. It introduces a so-called risk fear portfolio strategy which combines portfolio … optimization with active risk monitoring. The former selects optimal portfolio weights. The later, independently, initiates market … leads to superior multivariate density and Value-at-Risk forecasting, and better portfolio performance. The proposed risk …

[Update: Within four weeks of the original publication of this research report, Risk Magazine reported in its 28th … February 2012 issue story titled 'Goodbye VaR? Basel to Consider Other Risk Metrics': "A review of trading book capital rules …, due to be launched in March by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, will consider ditching value-at-risk as the …

relations between solvency shocks and liquidity shocks. These relations are then used to model liquidity and solvency risk in a …. We define the concept of 'Liquidity at Risk', which quantifies the liquidity resources required for a financial …

The interaction of capital and risk for trading and treasury units is of primary interest in the corporate governance … of banks as it links operational profitability and strategic risk management. During the financial crisis, several banks …' trading units suffered significantly higher losses than their risk capital charged based on value-at-risk constraints. There …

Choosing a proper external risk measure is of great regulatory importance, as exemplified in the Basel II and Basel III … Accord which use Value-at-Risk (VaR) with scenario analysis as the risk measures for setting capital requirements. We argue a … good external risk measure should be robust with respect to model misspecification and small changes in the data. A new …

credit risk management. Particularly, analysis of multidimensional credit risk models is continued from the previous …